Tuesday, 3 July 2018

Market Mantra (Nifty Fut/Bank Nifty Fut/SPX-500): 03/07/2018

Updated: 08:55

SGX-NF: 10650 (+4; +0.03%)

Expected BNF opening: 26250 (+10; +0.05%)

SPX-500: 2726 (-2; -0.08%)

Fut-I (Key Technical Levels)

Support for NF:

10680/10625-10565*/10525-10490/10440-10405/10385

Resistance to NF:

10700/10735-10755*/10795-10825/10880-10905/10955

Support for BNF:

26300/26200-26050*/25900-25700/25550-25400/25100

Resistance to BNF:

26575/26650-26850*/26950-27050/27150-27250/27500

Support for SPX-500:

2710/2700-2690*/2670-2635/2605-2590/2575

Resistance to SPX-500:

2750*/2770-2795/2810-2835/2855-2880/2905

Technical View (Nifty, Bank Nifty, SPX-500):

Technically, Nifty Fut-I (NF) has to sustain over 10700 for a further rally to 10735/10755-10795/10825-10880-10905 in the near term (under bullish case scenario). 

On the flip side, sustaining below 10680 NF may fall to 10625/10565-10525/10490-10440/10405 in the near term (under bear case scenario).

Technically, Bank Nifty Fut-I (BNF) has to sustain over 26575 for a further rally to 26650/26850-26950/27050-27150/27250 in the near term (under bullish case scenario).

On the flip side, sustaining below 26525-26475 BNF may fall to 26300/26200-26050/25900-25700/25550 in the near term (under bear case scenario).

Technically, SPX-500 now has to sustain over 2750 for a further rally to 2770/2795-2810/2835-2855/2880 in the near term (under bullish case scenario).

On the flip side, sustaining below 2740 SPX-500 may fall to 2710/2700-2690/2670-2635/2605 in the near term (under bear case scenario).

Valuation metrics:

Nifty-50: 10657; Q4FY18 EPS: 395; Q4FY18 PE: 26.98; Avg FWD PE: 20; Proj FY-19 EPS: 425; Proj Fair Value: 8500

Bank Nifty: 26364; Q4FY18 EPS: 766; Q3FY18 PE: 34.24; Avg FWD PE: 20; Proj FY-19 EPS: 961; Proj Fair Value: 19220


SPX-500: 2727; TTM Q4-2017 EPS: 111; TTM PE: 24.57


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