Tuesday 22 January 2019

Nifty slumped early Tuesday on subdued global cues amid renewed US-China cold/trade war tensions

The Indian market (Nifty Fut/India-50) is currently trading around 10930.00 early Tuesday, slumped by almost -0.35% on subdued global cues amid renewed US-China cold/trade war tensions. As per reports, the US will proceed with extradition request for the arrested Huawei executive in Canada. The arrested Huawei CFO Meng is being detained on charges related to Huawei "allegedly stealing trade secrets from U.S. business partners, including the technology for a robotic device called "Tappy" that T-Mobile US used to test smartphones”.


Nifty jumped Monday on hopes of a rate cut, mixed global cues and led by exporters on higher USD; RIL and techs helped:

The Indian market (Nifty Fut/India-50) closed around 10964.50 Monday, jumped by almost +0.34% on mixed global cues after a stable and expected set of economic data from China (GDP, Industrial productions and retail sales) coupled with growing optimism about the US-China trade truce progress and RBI rate cuts.

But Early Monday, the “risk-on” trade was under some stress on a report that despite growing optimism story about the US-China trade truce progress, on the vital issue of IP protection, there is absolutely no progress as reported by the US Treasury to the US Congress. China officials have denied such IP theft allegation and asked the US for proof.

Subsequently, the US future SPX-500 dropped over -0.30%, while Europe also slumped around -0.40%. But China and Hong Kong recovered from an earlier slump on a stable set of economic data and hopes of China stimulus as ultimately China’s 2018 GDP came at +6.60%, the lowest in last 28-years.


Technical View (Nifty, Bank Nifty, USDINR):

Technically, whatever may be the narrative Nifty Fut-I (NF) has to sustain over 11075 for a further rally to 11130*/11205-11245/11315 and 11405/11495-11620/11785-11825 in the near term (under bullish case scenario).

On the flip side, sustaining below 11050-11010, NF may fall to 10900*/10840-10800/10750 and 10660/10575-10500/10350 in the near term (under bear case scenario).

Technically, Bank Nifty Fut-I (BNF) has to sustain over 27800 for a further rally to 27880*/27945-28175/28410 and 28465/28550-28800/29100 in the near term (under bullish case scenario).

On the flip side, sustaining below 27750-27650, BNF may again fall to 27400*/27200-27050/26700 and 26400/26250-26000/25700 in the near term (under bear case scenario).

Technically, USDINR (spot) has to sustain over 70.80 for a further rally to 71.50/71.75*-72.00/72.75 and 73.05/74.00-74.50/76.05 in the near term (under bullish case scenario).

On the flip side, sustaining below 70.45, USDINR may fall to 70.10/69.75*-69.10/68.45 and 67.85/66.95-66.40/65.70 in the near term (under bear case scenario).

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 CL-WTI CRUDE OIL FUT

Monday 7 January 2019

Nifty surged early Monday on an overnight boost in the Wall Street and lower USDINR

The Indian market (Nifty Fut/India-50) is currently trading around 10842.00 in early Monday, surged by almost +0.60% on positive global cues amid overnight boost in the Wall Street as Fed’s Powell looks “patient and flexible” coupled with a “blockbuster” US NFP job data, confirming the underlying strength of the US economy rather than slow down.

But on early Monday Asian session, USDJPY plunged on lingering US political saga (partial government shutdown), renewed concern of US-China cold war as China’s President Xi reportedly asked his Army to be prepared for a “war” with American/Trump aggression! 


Technical View (Nifty, Bank Nifty, USDINR-I):
Technically, whatever may be the narrative Nifty Fut-I (NF) has to sustain over 10925 for a further rally to 10975/11050*-11130/11205 and 11245/11315-11405/11495 in the near term (under bear case scenario).

On the flip side, sustaining below 10900, NF may further fall to 10825/10745*-10660/10580 and 10500/10350-10290/10230 in the near term (under bear case scenario).

Technically, Bank Nifty Fut-I (BNF) has to sustain over 27650 for a further rally to 27785/27875-27945*/28175 and 28410/28465-28550/28800 in the near term (under bear case scenario).

On the flip side, sustaining below 27600, BNF may again fall to 27400/27300-27050*/26700 and 26500/26400-26250/26150 in the near term (under bear case scenario).

Technically, USDINR-I has to sustain over 69.50 for a further rally to 70.50/70.95*-71.25/71.75 and 72.60*/73.00-73.70/74.25 in the near term (under bullish case scenario).

On the flip side, sustaining below 69.15, USDINR-I may fall to 69.00*/68.50-68.25/68.00 and 67.80/67.00-66.70/66.40 in the near term (under bear case scenario).

For more: https://www.iforex.in/news

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