Sunday, 24 August 2014

Technical Outlook Of Nifty Fut-A 360-degree Approach:2-5 days










For NF, 7950 zone will offer resistance & above that 8125 zone will be the target.
On the downside, 7835-7817 zone is positional support as of now & below that 7743 zone will be the target.
At Jackson Hole symposium, it appears that Yellen/Fed is on the middle path & there are many caveats for an early fed rate hike before June-2015. Draghi is also ready for further QE & other weapons, if deflation & negative  growth accelerates in EU. But both of them are behind their own curves to raise interest rates. Overall, we are in ample liquidity, thanks to Fed, EU & Abenomics. Due to some risk in Russian market, funds are flowing out from there to land into EM(s) like India & China.Many FII(s) are sitting on the sideline to invest in Indian Market on some correction/dips & have considerable faith in Modinomics. Though any meaningful big bang reform yet to come in to our economy, market is realizing that there are siezable ground works going on for the same in a continuous basis proactively by the present Modi Govt.

On the flip side, some adverse Ukrainian headlines could pose some risk off in global markets as well as ours. But personally, I don't think that will pose a major problem for our market.

In the bottom line, our Indian Market is now in multiyear/secular bull market & should target NF @8150 zone in short term & 10500 in medium term.

Trading Levels: Nifty Fut




Gap Up/Dw (Indicative)


SGX NIFTY 7914 -22



        NF-JULY LTP 7936
             
             
  SL >/< 5 POINTS FROM SLR        
             
  Intraday Swing  Trader        
      T1 T2 T3 SLR
Strong > 7950   7978-7992 8007-8025 8063-8125 <7930
             
Weak < 7930   7903-7890 7857-7835 7817-7772 >7950







FOR  Conservative Positional Trader









      T1 T2 T3 SLR
Strong > 7950   7992 8025* 8063-8125 <7930
             
Weak < 7930   7890 7835* 7772-7743 >7950
             


    

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