Tuesday 21 August 2018

Market Mantra (Nifty Fut/Bank Nifty Fut/USDINR/SPX-500): 21/08/2018

Updated: 10:30

Nifty-SGX-NF: 11585 (+2; +0.01%)                

Bank Nifty-BNF: 28335 (+15; +0.05%)

SPX-500: 2858 (-0.50; -0.02%)

Fut-I (Key Technical Levels)

Support for NF:

11585*/11555-11500/11460-11440/11400-11370/11315

Resistance to NF:

11605*/11625-11665/11695-11725/11790-11825/11900

Support for BNF:

28300/28175*-28000/27825-27640/27400-27250/27000

Resistance to BNF:

28450/28525*-28685/28800-29050/29115-29275/29425

Support for USDINR-I:

69.90*/69.60-69.35/69.15-68.85/68.15-67.75/67.50

Resistance to USDINR-I:

70.55*/71.00-71.30/71.50-71.75/72.05-72.50/73.25

Support for SPX-500:

2840/2815*-2800/2790-2770/2735-2720/2695

Resistance to SPX-500:

2865/2880*-2905/2925-2960/3010-3035/3070

Technical View (Nifty, Bank Nifty, USDINR-I, SPX-500):

Technically, Nifty Fut-I (NF) has to sustain over 11625 for a further rally to 11665/11695-11725/11790-11825/11900 in the near term (under bullish case scenario). 

On the flip side, sustaining below 11605-11585 NF may fall to 11555/11500-11460/11440-11400/11370 in the near term (under bear case scenario).

Technically, Bank Nifty Fut-I (BNF) has to sustain over 28450 for a further rally to 28525/28685-28800/29050-29115/29275 in the near term (under bullish case scenario).

On the flip side, sustaining below 28400 BNF may fall to 28300/28175-28000/27825-27640/27400 in the near term (under bear case scenario).

Technically, USDINR-I has to sustain over 70.55 for a further rally to 71.00/71.30-71.50/71.75-72.05/72.50 in the near term (under bullish case scenario).

On the flip side, sustaining below 70.35, USDINR-I may fall to 69.90/69.60-69.35/69.15-68.85/68.15 in the near term (under bear case scenario).

Technically, SPX-500 has to sustain over 2865 for a further rally to 2880/2905-2925/2960-3010/3035 in the near term (under bullish case scenario).

On the flip side, sustaining below 2855 SPX-500 may fall to 2840/2815-2800/2790-2770/2735 in the near term (under bear case scenario).

Valuation metrics:

Nifty-50: 11552; Q4FY18 EPS: 402; Q4FY18 PE: 28.74; Avg FWD PE: 20; Proj FY-19 EPS: 425; Proj Fair Value: 8500

Bank Nifty: 28274; Q4FY18 EPS: 519; Q4FY18 PE: 54.48; Avg FWD PE: 20; Proj FY-19 EPS: 961; Proj Fair Value: 19220

SPX-500: 2857; TTM Q4-2017 EPS: 111; TTM PE: 25.74

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