Friday, 3 August 2018

Market Mantra (Nifty Fut/Bank Nifty Fut/SPX-500): 03/08/2018

Updated: 08:30

SGX-NF: 11315 (+39; +0.35%)                      

Expected BNF opening: 27537 (+100; +0.35%)

SPX-500: 2827 (-1.00; -0.04%)

Fut-I (Key Technical Levels)

Support for NF:

11300*/11260-11220/11200-11175/11150-11100/11070

Resistance to NF:

11385*/11425-11465/11500-11535/11585-11605/11665

Support for BNF:

27300*/27150-27000/26900-26800/26600-26400/26200

Resistance to BNF:

27650*/27850-27950/28150-28300/28450-28525/28685

Support for SPX-500:

2815/2790*-2760/2740-2710/2695-2665/2640

Resistance to SPX-500:

2845/2860*-2880/2905-2925/2960-3010/3035

Technical View (Nifty, Bank Nifty, SPX-500):

Technically, Nifty Fut-I (NF) has to sustain over 11425 for a further rally to 11465/11500-11535/11585-11605/11685 in the near term (under bullish case scenario). 

On the flip side, sustaining below 11405-11385/11365 NF may fall to 11300/11260-11220/11200-11175/11150 in the near term (under bear case scenario).

Technically, Bank Nifty Fut-I (BNF) has to sustain over 27650 for a further rally to 27850/27950-28150/28300-28450/28525 in the near term (under bullish case scenario).
On the flip side, sustaining below 27600-27550 BNF may fall to 27300/27150-27000/26900-26800/26600 in the near term (under bear case scenario).

Technically, SPX-500 has to sustain over 2845 for a further rally to 2860/2880-2905/2925-2960/3010 in the near term (under bullish case scenario).

On the flip side, sustaining below 2835 SPX-500 may fall to 2815/2790-2760/2740-2710/2695 in the near term (under bear case scenario).

Valuation metrics:

Nifty-50: 10900 (MEDIAN-3M); Q4FY18 EPS: 402; Q4FY18 PE: 27.11; Avg FWD PE: 20; Proj FY-19 EPS: 425; Proj Fair Value: 8500

Bank Nifty: 26965 (MEDIAN-3M); Q4FY18 EPS: 519; Q4FY18 PE: 51.96; Avg FWD PE: 20; Proj FY-19 EPS: 961; Proj Fair Value: 19220


SPX-500: 2721 (MEDIAN-3M); TTM Q4-2017 EPS: 111; TTM PE: 24.51

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