Tuesday, 7 August 2018

Market Mantra (Nifty Fut/Bank Nifty Fut/SPX-500): 07/08/2018

Updated: 09:00

SGX-NF: 11430 (+9; +0.08%)                        

Expected BNF opening: 28000 (+42; +0.15%)

SPX-500: 2851 (+1; +0.05%)

Fut-I (Key Technical Levels)

Support for NF:

11405/11370*-11340/11300-11270/11225-11175/11125

Resistance to NF:

11475/11500*-11535/11585-11605/11665-11695/11725

Support for BNF:

27825/27625*-27525/27425-27300/27150-27000/26850

Resistance to BNF:

28050/28175*-28300/28450-28525/28685-28800/29100

Support for SPX-500:

2850/2830*-2815/2790-2760/2740-2710/2695

Resistance to SPX-500:

2860/2880*-2905/2925-2960/3010-3035/3070

Technical View (Nifty, Bank Nifty, SPX-500):

Technically, Nifty Fut-I (NF) has to sustain over 11475 for a further rally to 11500/11535-11585/11605-11665/11695 in the near term (under bullish case scenario). 

On the flip side, sustaining below 11455 NF may fall to 11405/11370*-11340/11300-11270/11225 in the near term (under bear case scenario).

Technically, Bank Nifty Fut-I (BNF) has to sustain over 28050 for a further rally to 28175/28300-28450/28525-28685/28800 in the near term (under bullish case scenario).

On the flip side, sustaining below 28000 BNF may fall to 27825/27625-27525/27425-27300/27150 in the near term (under bear case scenario).

Technically, SPX-500 has to sustain over 2860 for a further rally to 2880/2905-2925/2960-3010/3035 in the near term (under bullish case scenario).

On the flip side, sustaining below 2850 SPX-500 may fall to 2830/2815-2790/2760-2740/2710 in the near term (under bear case scenario).

Valuation metrics:

Nifty-50: 10900 (MEDIAN-3M); Q4FY18 EPS: 402; Q4FY18 PE: 27.11; Avg FWD PE: 20; Proj FY-19 EPS: 425; Proj Fair Value: 8500

Bank Nifty: 26965 (MEDIAN-3M); Q4FY18 EPS: 519; Q4FY18 PE: 51.96; Avg FWD PE: 20; Proj FY-19 EPS: 961; Proj Fair Value: 19220


SPX-500: 2721 (MEDIAN-3M); TTM Q4-2017 EPS: 111; TTM PE: 24.51

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