Monday 13 April 2015

Nifty Fut(NSE-APR): On the way to 9300-9700 ?








Technically, NF (LTP:8805) has to sustain over immediate hurdle of 8820 & 8875 for 9200-9300. Looking at the chart, consecutive closing above 8875, there is no major resistance until 9012 & 9191 zone. Sustain above 9200, it could easily scale to 9300-9415-9700 zone by June'15 (Dovish FED & RBI rate cut action may be the key drivers).

On the flip side, immediate positional support is around 8760-8725 zone & below that 8685. Consecutive closing below 8685 area, NF may be crashed to 8532-8480-8328 territory again.

Improved IIP figure may help our market, although it may be also translated for possible RBI rate cut pause immediately. Market will keenly watch inflation & earning figures, although there is much skepticism and market is already discounted muted earning growths in Q4, any major positive or negative surprise will trigger the volatility and "BUY ON MAJOR DIPS" may be the best strategy going ahead. Outcome of key bills like Land & GST in the coming parliament session may also act as a major trigger in the near term.

Globally, S&P-500 (LTP: 2094) is also poised for record high & near term target may be around 2215
(http://asisjpg.blogspot.in/2015/04/s-on-way-to-2215.html).

Today's morning China trade data, although much below market expectations (excuses may be lunar new year & relatively strong Yuan among others), its also heightened the expectation of another targeted mini Chinese stimulus.

In any way, there is no dearth of global liquidity and over the years, it seems that the four pillars of  our global economy (FED/EU/BOJ/PBOC) are closely coordinating and in the process, ensuring enough liquidity in the financial system, thus preventing any major melt down in the global financial market and also ensured its stability.

Trading Levels: Nifty Fut (NSE-APR)



Gap Up/Dw (Indicative)


SGX NIFTY 8810 5



        NF-APR LTP 8805
             
             
  SL (+/-) 10 POINTS FROM SLR        
             
  Intraday Swing  Trader        
      T1 T2 T3 SLR
Strong > 8780   8820-8850 8875-8905* 8920-8960 <8760
             
Weak < 8760   8737-8725 8685-8640* 8615-8591 >8780







FOR  Conservative Positional Trader









      T1 T2 T3 SLR
Strong > 8780   8850 8905* 8960-9012 <8760
             
Weak < 8760   8725 8640* 8591-8532 >8780
             




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