Monday, 23 May 2016

ITC: 345-360 May Be A Major Hurdle Amid Controversy In Cigarettes And Slow Overall Growth & Sin Tax/GST/Pictorial Shock

Trading Idea: ITC

CMP: 330

Either sell below 340-345 or on rise around 360-375

TGT: 321-310*-302-290*-283-265*-249-230 (1-3/6M)

TSL> 380

Note: Consecutive closing (3 days) above 380 for any reason, ITC may further rally up to 386-398* & 412-425 in the near to long term (alternative bullish case scenario).

For ITC (Standalone):

Q4FY16 TTM EPS: 12.20 (diluted/FY16/Actual)

Projected FWD EPS: 13.50-14.80-16.35 (FY:17-19/Estimated)

Average PE: 25

As par BG metrics and current market parameters:

Present median value may be around: 315 (FY:16/TTM)

Projected fair value: 331-350-365 (FY:17-19/FWD)

 
ITC EPS(TTM) BV(Act)  P/E(AVG) Low High Median  200-DEMA 10-DEMA
Q4FY16/TTM 12.2 50.37 25 314.48 315.20 314.84 324.26 325.74
FY17/FWD 13.5 61.55 25 330.81 331.57 331.19 324.26 325.74
FY18/FWD 14.8 75.05 25 346.38 347.17 346.77 324.26 325.74
FY19/FWD 16.35 91.75 25 364.06 364.89 364.48 324.26 325.74
 
Analytical Charts:








 

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