Friday, 10 June 2016

Arvind:320-330 May Be A Good Hurdle

Trading Idea: Arvind

CMP: 311

Either sell below 310-320 or on rise around 330-348

TGT: 300*-288-278-258-245*-235 (1-3/6M)

TSL> 325 OR > 352

Note: Consecutive closing (3 days) above 352 for any reason, Arvind may further rally up to 366*-377-388-405* & 425-435* in the near to long term (alternative bullish case scenario from the present trading level).

For Arvind (Consolidated):

Q4FY16 TTM EPS: 14.04 (FY:16/Actual)

Projected FWD EPS: 16.65-19.75-23.25 (FY:17-19/Estimated)

Average PE: 18

Q4FY16 BVPS: 109.12

Average P/B: 2.5

Intrinsic Fair Value: 273 (FY:16/TTM)

As par BG metrics & current market volatility:

Present median value: 276 (FY:16/TTM)

Projected fair value: 300-330-355 (FY:17-19/FWD)

 
ARVIND EPS BV  P/E Low High Median  200-DEMA 10-DEMA
Q4FY16/TTM 14.04 109.12 18 270.32 280.81 275.57 289.14 312.03
FY17/FWD 16.65 119.05 18 294.37 305.80 300.09 289.14 312.03
FY18/FWD 19.75 129.75 18 320.61 333.06 326.83 289.14 312.03
FY19/FWD 23.25 141.55 18 347.86 361.36 354.61 289.14 312.03


Analytical Charts:
 
 







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