Thursday 18 February 2016

Maruti: Further Rally Only Sustaining Abv 3800-3850 zone

For Maruti, consecutive closing below 3450-3380, 
It may fall up to 3000-2600 zone 

Capacity constraints and Yen appreciation may be some of the headwinds
despite hopes of demand revival & 7-PC

CMP: 3749

Sell either below 3775 or on rise around 3800-3830;

TGT1: 3620-3518-3450*-3380* (1-3M)

TGT2: 3180-2990*-2840-2600* (12-24M)

TSL> 3850

Note: Consecutive (3 days) closing above 3850, Maruti may rally up to 3970-4140-4290-4350 & 4500-4800 in the alternative bullish case scenario from the present trading level.


As pat BG metrics and current market scenario:
(based on TTM & FWD EPS)

Current median valuation of Maruti may be around: 3500 (TTM/FY-16)

Projected fair valuations might be around: 3725-4000 (FWD/FY:17-18)


SCRIP EPS(TTM) BV(Act)  P/E(AVG) Low High Median  200-DEMA 10-DEMA
MARUTI 156.31 784.7 20 3590.41 3410.88 3500.64 4123.54 3721.49


MARUTI 152.85 865.15 20 3550.45 3372.92 3461.68 4123.54 3721.49

MARUTI 175.95 950.5 20 3809.30 3618.83 3714.06 4123.54 3721.49

MARUTI 202.35 1045.45 20 4085.09 3880.83 3982.96 4123.54 3721.49
  
Analytical Charts:











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