Monday, 10 April 2017

Kotak Bank: 895-910 May Be A Big Hurdle Despite “Animal Spirit” For Inorganic Growth; At TTM PE Of 35, The Stock May Be Quite Expensive Against Its Average PE Of 25



10/04/2017 (20:00)

Trading Idea: KMB

LTP: 877
Sell on rise around: 895-910
TGT: 845-830 & 790-770 and 720-690 (1-3 & 6M)
TSL> 915 OR > 925

Note: Consecutive closing above 925 area, KMB may further rally towards 945-975 & 1000-1015 & 1045-1080 in the near to long term (FY: 18-19). Anyone having long position in the stock may also watch the 845-830 zone as positional support.

As the valuation multiple is currently quite stretched at around PE of 35 (Q3FY17 TTM) in comparison to its average PE multiple of 25, investors may wait for some dips before fresh buying.


Investment Idea: KMB
LTP: 873
Buy/accumulate on dips around: 770-720
TGT: 905-975 & 1015-1045 and 1080 (12-24M/FY: 18-19)

Valuation metrics for KMB (Cons):

ACTUAL Q3FY17 EPS
6.88
ACTUAL TTM Q3FY17 EPS
24.96
PROJECTED Q4FY17 EPS
7.56
PROJCTED FY-17 EPS
26.78
PROJECTED Q1FY18 EPS
8.3
PROJECTED TTM Q1FY18 EPS
29.28
PROJECTED FY-18 EPS
30.3

Average/median PE: 25
Average CAGR in EBITDA: 21%
Projected CAGR in EBITDA (FY: 18-19): 33%
Average CAGR in EPS: 25% (Adjusted EQ dilution for ING merger)
Projected CAGR in EPS: 23% (without factoring for latest 3.3% EQ dilution and probable further fund raising/EQ dilution)

As par current & implied run rate & average PE of 25, median fair valuation of KMB may be:
Actual Q3FY17 TTM: 625
Projected FY-17: 670
Projected FY-18: 760

Valuation Metrics
Q3FY17
FY-17E
Q1FY18E
FY-18E
TTM EPS
24.96
26.78
29.28
30.3
MEDIAN PE
25
25
25
25
MEDIAN FAIR VALUE
624.00
669.50
732.00
757.50

If KMB can deliver an actual CAGR of 30-35% in EPS in FY: 17-19 consistently, then market may assign it 30 PE for the long term average, depending upon the management guidance & any big inorganic expansion, such as Axis Bank or KTK as par recent market buzz and in that scenario, projected FY: 18-19 median valuation may be around 910-1060 (EPS: 30.30 * 30/35); although such big inorganic expansion may be usually not good for KMB scrip, at least for the short term (depending upon the actual M&A details, if happens at all).

Analysts estimates for EPS of KMB:

ANALYST PROJECTION (EPS)
FY-17
FY18
MOSL
26.3
32.3
FT/REUTERS
22.3
28.13
MEDIAN EPS(CONSENSUS)
24.30
30.22
MEDIAN PE
25
25
MEDIAN VALUE (CONSENSUS)
607.50
755.38

KMB Financials: QLY

KOTAK BANK-CONS-Q3FY17
Dec '16
Sep '16
Jun '16
Mar '16
Dec '15
YOY
QOQ
AVG
AVGR
SGR
PROJ(%)
Q4FY17
Q1FY18
Interest Earned













(a) Int. /Disc. on Adv/Bills
4,228.47
4,140.18
4,056.95
3,978.38
3,917.17
7.95
2.13
4023.17
5.10
1.92
2.79
4346.30
4467.42
(b) Income on Investment
1,239.36
1,232.44
1,220.99
1,178.10
1,090.08
13.69
0.56
1180.40
4.99
3.15
3.03
1276.95
1315.68
(c) Int. on balances With RBI
62.68
29.52
34.5
55.68
25.51
145.71
112.33
36.30
72.66
28.51
62.48
101.84
165.48
(d) Others
135.56
131.51
157.29
105.3
112.97
20.00
3.08
126.77
6.94
7.19
5.55
143.09
151.03
INTEREST INCOME
5,666.07
5,533.65
5,469.73
5,317.46
5,145.73
10.11
2.39
5366.64
5.58
2.41
3.23
5849.00
6037.84
Other Income
2,003.97
2,881.30
2,397.15
2,592.95
1,804.68
11.04
-30.45
2419.02
-17.16
3.15
-10.42
1795.07
1607.95
TOTAL REVENUE
7,670.04
8,414.95
7,866.88
7,910.41
6,950.41
10.35
-8.85
7785.66
-1.49
2.43
-1.33
7567.96
7467.23
EXPENDITURE













Interest Expended
2,919.02
2,869.44
2,904.00
2,850.52
2,775.74
5.16
1.73
2849.93
2.42
1.26
1.68
2967.93
3017.66
Employees Cost
993.61
1,013.77
951.46
926.68
874.62
13.60
-1.99
941.63
5.52
3.21
2.54
1018.81
1044.65
Other Expenses
1,678.20
2,533.62
2,173.56
2,422.15
1,622.77
3.42
-33.76
2188.03
-23.30
1.39
-13.71
1448.19
1249.70
OPEX
5,590.83
6,416.83
6,029.02
6,199.35
5,273.13
6.02
-12.87
5979.58
-6.50
1.44
-4.11
5361.20
5141.00
EBITDA
2,079.21
1,998.12
1,837.86
1,711.06
1,677.28
23.96
4.06
1806.08
15.12
5.54
7.68
2238.86
2410.76
Depreciation
0
0
0
0
0
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
EBITA
2,079.21
1,998.12
1,837.86
1,711.06
1,677.28
23.96
4.06
1806.08
15.12
5.54
7.68
2238.86
2410.76
Provisions And Contingencies
217.81
217.93
213.57
211.98
261.02
-16.55
-0.06
226.13
-3.68
-5.10
-3.24
210.75
203.91
Exceptional Items
0
0
0
0
0
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
PBT
1,861.40
1,780.19
1,624.29
1,499.08
1,416.26
31.43
4.56
1579.96
17.81
7.01
9.31
2034.71
2224.15
Tax
611.46
585.23
541.49
442.49
477.95
27.93
4.48
511.79
19.47
6.73
9.42
669.04
732.05
PAT
1,249.94
1,194.96
1,082.80
1,056.59
938.31
33.21
4.60
1068.17
17.02
7.16
9.27
1365.81
1492.42
Minority Interest
-17.62
-16.31
-18.56
-19.93
-15.49
13.75
8.03
-17.57
0.27
2.83
3.64
-18.26
-18.93
Share Of P/L Of Associates
34.27
23.75
2.86
18.57
22.34
53.40
44.29
16.88
103.02
167.45
82.03
62.38
113.55
Net P/L After M.I & Associates
1,266.59
1,202.40
1,067.10
1,055.23
945.16
34.01
5.34
1067.47
18.65
7.39
9.97
1392.89
1531.79
Equity Share Capital
919.63
918.64
917.79
917.19
916.25
0.37
0.11
917.47
0.24
0.09
0.13
920.84
922.06
EPS
6.89
6.54
5.81
5.75
5.16
33.52
5.23
5.82
18.38
7.30
9.82
7.56
8.31
EPS After Extra Ordinary













Basic EPS
6.89
6.55
5.82
5.76
5.16
33.53
5.19
5.82
18.33
7.30
9.80
7.57
8.31
Diluted EPS
6.88
6.54
5.8
5.74
5.15
33.59
5.20
5.81
18.47
7.32
9.85
7.56
8.30
TTM EPS
24.96
23.23









26.78
29.28
AVERAGE PE
25
25









25
25
MEDIAN VALUATION
624.00
580.75









669.44
731.97
BVPS
201.4
194.3
187.6
181.9
176.5
14.11
3.65
185.08
8.82
3.33
4.83
211.13
221.34
AVG P/B
3.25
3.25
3.25
3.25
3.25






3.25
3.25
MEDIAN VALUATION
654.55
631.48
609.70
591.18
573.63






686.19
719.35

KMB was in the limelight recently after speculation of various M&A targets and expression of “animal spirit” by the management for more growth (organic or inorganic) & private investments not only for itself, but for all the eligible corporates (quality investors). Apparently, after huge win of BJP in the recent state elections (UP), the KMB management seemed to regain its confidence & faith on the Indian economy and the incremental reform process (Modinomics) as with other big angel investors and called for “animal spirit” by the Indian corporates/investors and also called for some “signal” by the Govt to kick start the economy, revival of private investments and ability to take some risks by the private investors.

But FM, on his part was apparently cool and maintained that, Govt has already giving “various signals” over the years and investors need to understand that; perhaps the Govt is taking a cautious stance keeping in mind some greed of corporate Indian in the boom period of pre-2008 (pre-recession) & 2010-12, when some of the corporates want to grow fast by irrational exuberance of huge expansion or unrelated diversification by taking huge debt; thus causing the problem of “twin balance sheet” as now. But, of course Kotak group (KMB) is an exception like few others corporate groups with very deep pocket, good debt profile, excellent professional management and a business model with consistent earnings visibility.

For such display of “animal spirit” & KMB’s recent fund raising plan of Rs.5300 cr, market was abuzz with various probable M&A speculations ranging from Axis Bank, KTK Bank, Bharat Fin, M&A Fin etc (the list was long !!). But, eventually nothing was happened; KMB has apparently raising further EQ capital and thereby diluting it by around 3.3% to reduce the promoter shareholding gradually as par RBI directive and to also fund its ARC subsidiary.

Although, KMB is clearly interested for Axis Bank due to variety of reasons, such as operational synergy, dilution of promoter holdings in the merged entity & corporate loan book. Govt may be also eager to sell/dilute its SUUTI stake (11.7%) in Axis Bank in FY-18 to meet its disinvestment target and KMB may be waiting for that opportunity. Axis Bank may be on the dock (sale list), because of failure of the present management to contain its stressed assets and also for various ongoing cases against some of its employees at different branches involving DeMo related currency notes exchange/conversion allegations under PMLA; Govt may also ensure a management change in the Axis Bank.

As par KMB management, going forward, like in telecom industry, there may be only five big banks for India (SBI, ICICI, HDFC, Axis/Merged entity and IIB/Yes/Kotak) and KMB may be one of them. KMB might be right as India is not a place of so many banks, now around 30 (?) and a wave of consolidation may be coming in the months/quarters ahead, in which entities with a very deep pocket may only survive like in telecoms.

Apart from the above mentioned 6 private banks & SBI, most of the other PSBS may also be merged into BOB & PNB. Thus, Indian banking system may be consolidated into 5-6 major private banks & 3-4 major PSBS group. KMB may be preparing itself for a big banking role and may be also eyeing the corporate loan books growth as the traditional corporate lenders (PSBS) and also its private peers (ICICI/Axis) are now stressed itself and may not be in a position to resume corporate lending in a big way, when such demand again came back. Such stressed banks need to raise sufficient capitals and also need to resolute their NPA issues properly.

Thus KMB has raising capital for pursuing such consolidation (M&A) opportunities (inorganic growth), role as a big ARC or even participation of a Govt sponsored/PPP mode “bad bank” to acquire & resolute stressed assets/NPA, organic growth opportunities and digital banking expansion (like recently launched “811” –digital mode of opening an instant limited or no frill bank A/C with only limited KYC-Pan/UID at lower costs).

KMB has also strengthen its ARC ARM by infusing further capital of around Rs.1200 cr and it may play a big role of a “Super ARC”, which may be now only suitable for players having very deep pocket and can withstand the gestation period to revitalize or resolute a stressed assets.

The major problem of huge stressed assets in the Indian Banking system may be now largely confined between 40-50 stressed corporate groups, mainly in infra sectors. Apart from some project delays or business viability, past policy paralysis, one of the main reasons may be India’s legacy issues of high real interest rate (lending rate). Govt/RBI may focus on those large 40-50 stressed accounts first and may deal with case to case basis, considering specific nature of NPA and try for an effective resolution; but it may also take significant time as simple management change may not be the only solution; there may be questions of project/business viability and other structural issues.

KMB need to expand & diversify at animal spirit now as its core lending business (loan growth/interest income) may have been slowed quite significantly over the last few quarters and NII is growing around 2.43% on QOQ basis. The bank is focusing more on CV & corporate loans like other 2nd generations private banks (IIB/Yes bank); incremental corporate loans may be limited only to the top rated large corporate groups having little probability of default. KMB’s LAP/HL/Mortgage/unsecured PL/business banking portfolios may not be doing well; but secured PL/CC business is robust.

As with other 2nd generations private banks, asset quality of KMB is quite stable in comparison to other old peers (ICICI/Axis) as the bank is quite cautious and did not lend irresponsibly to stressed borrowers in boom time (2010-12). But going forward, due to need for fast expansion & credit growth, quality of lending may also suffer for these banks (KMB/IIB/Yes), especially when they are entering next phase of growth amid intense competition among the peers. If there is no significant economic revival in India, no big solution to India’s huge unemployment or underemployment problem and growing protectionism from US & other EU countries, like UK, Germany & H1B Visa issues, there may be significant stress with the retail assets too at some point of time and these private banks, which are so far insulated from corporate stressed assets for their greater exposure in retail assets may also be in some kind of problem.

As of now around 60% of loan books of KMB (on standalone basis) is of corporate loans & 40% is of retail loans (SMES/business loans/PL/HL/LAP/CV/Agri); out retail loans, agri loan constitutes around 13% (Rs.16519 cr) which may also face some stress following farm loan waivers in UP, which may be likely followed by other states. PSBS will be reimbursed by the state Govts for the farm loan waiver; but private banks may not be and overall agri & also other credit discipline of the system may also be affected going forward due “moral hazard” of repeated loan waivers.

On consolidated basis, around 30% of KMB loan book is now of corporates & 70% consists of retail as of now after integration process with ING is completed. Despite high savings interest rate of 6% in some of the select savings accounts having min average balance above Rs.1 lakh, KMB’s average NIM was around 4.5%, slightly higher than its peers (4%) because of high yielding retail & corporate working capital loans; but post merger with ING, the average NIM dipped below 4.5% to around 4.2%. After ING integration, PCR also declined significantly from around 75% to 55% now. Credit costs has also increased post merger with ING from around 0.3% to 0.6%; analysts are expecting it to be stable around 0.40-0.35% in FY: 17-19.

KOTAK BANK-CONS-Q3FY17
Dec '16
Sep '16
Jun '16
Mar '16
Dec '15
YOY
QOQ
AVG
AVGR
SGR
PROJ(%)
Q4FY17
Q1FY18
i) Gross NPA
3,367.67
3,395.48
3,265.18
3,016.55
2,870.84
17.31
-0.82
3137.01
7.35
4.06
3.73
3493.29
3623.61
ii) Net NPA
1,450.43
1,622.15
1,565.40
1,353.03
1,200.21
20.85
-10.59
1435.20
1.06
5.01
0.17
1452.95
1455.47
i) % of Gross NPA
2.11
2.18
2.2
2.06
2.01
4.98
-3.21
2.11
-0.12
1.28
-0.20
2.11
2.10
ii) % of Net NPA
0.92
1.05
1.06
0.93
0.85
8.24
-12.38
0.97
-5.40
2.31
-3.35
0.89
0.86
NII
2,747.05
2,664.21
2,565.73
2,466.94
2,369.99
15.91
3.11
2516.72
9.15
3.72
4.99
2884.12
3028.04
OPM(%)
27.11
23.74
23.36
21.63
24.13
12.33
14.16
23.22
16.76
3.06
9.27
29.62
32.37
NP(%)
16.30
14.20
13.76
13.36
13.50
20.71
14.76
13.71
18.91
4.98
10.95
18.08
20.06
NIM (%)
4.49
4.47
4.37
4.3
4.34
3.46
0.45
4.37
2.75
0.86
1.23
4.55
4.60
CORPORATE ADV
48186
44243
42732
39946
39189
22.96
8.91
41527.50
16.03
5.33
9.00
52524.55
57253.72
RETAIL ADV
109615
109835
104272
104847
101947
7.52
-0.20
105225.25
4.17
1.84
1.92
111722.33
113870.17
TOTAL ADV
157801
154078
147004
144793
141136
11.81
2.42
146752.75
7.53
2.82
3.93
164001.40
170445.42
CORPORATE ADV(%)
30.54
28.71
29.07
27.59
27.77
9.97
6.34
28.28
7.96
2.46
4.81
32.01
33.55
RETAIL ADV (%)
69.46
71.29
70.93
72.41
72.23
-3.83
-2.55
71.72
-3.14
-0.96
-1.90
68.14
66.84

KMB is now aiming to increase the share of corporate loan to 40% from the present 30% on consolidated basis by snatching business from the fragile PSBS batting for stressed assets. The bank is now catering to 30 top big corporate groups in India very successfully and is aiming to add another 10 such niche corporate relationships by FY-18.

KMB has also acquired around 500 quality borrowers in the last three years in the large & medium sized corporate groups having minimum annual revenue of Rs.250 cr; the bank is aiming to add/acquire another 200 such entities, from the ailing PSBS as they have not enough capital for any revival in credit demand. But, most of the corporates may be already leveraged and battling their own stress in the balance sheet and lower capacity utilization & demand and in such scenario, revival of any credit demand may also take significant time.

Previously, KMB has given guidance at FY-16 for 20% loan growth, a credit cost of around 50-60 bps for FY-17. At FY-16, consolidated loan book was around Rs.144793 cr and thus the guided loan book for FY-17 should be around Rs.174000 cr; as on Q3FY17 it was at Rs.157801 cr; it may be little challenging to meet the projected loan growth at FY-17, considering the overall tepid credit growth of the Indian banking system, traditional conservative management of KMB, cultural difference with erstwhile ING Vysya Bank despite a smooth integration. Also GNPA/NNPA ratio of the KMB has increased by some extent after integration with ING, which contributed around 6% of GNPA to the merged entity, equivalent to 2.5% of the loan book of the merged entity.

On a standalone basis, non interest income of KMB may be robust on the back of core fee income and treasury gains and on an average over 50% of the PBT is coming from corporate/wholesale segment; rest is divided between retail banking and treasury income (around 25% each). Going forward, analysts are expecting around 19% CAGR in FY: 17-18 for the non interest income of KMB (standalone).

As par SOTP method calculated by various analysts based on some projected parameters of FY: 18-19, median value of KMB may be around 888 for FY-18 & 1015 for FY-19:

SOTP
I-DIRECT
HDFC-SEC
MOSL(FY-19)
KMB(BANKING OPERATIONS)
689
777
774
KOTAK LIFE
26
25
34
KOTAK PRIME
66
94
91
KOTAK CAPITAL
12
33
22
KOTAK SECURITIES
31
27
39
KOTAK AUM
16
19
55
SUBSIDIARY VALUE
151
198
241
LESS: HOLDING DISCOUNT(%)
0
20
0
NET SUBSIDIARY VALUE
151
158.4
241
MEDIN VALUE (KMB)
840
935.4
1015

For KMB, all the subsidiaries are contributing around 30% altogether to the consolidated profit and rest 70% is being generated by the banking operations. Thus, subsidiaries are also playing a vital role in overall KMB structure and out of those Kotak Prime (Car Finance), Kotak Securities & Kotak Life are making significant contributions in consolidated PAT.


PAT-SUBSIDIARIES
Dec '16
Sep '16
Jun '16
Mar '16
Dec '15
YOY
QOQ
AVG
AVGR
SGR
PROJ(%)
Q4FY17
Q1FY18
KMB(BANKING OPERATIONS)
880
813
742
696
635
38.58
8.24
721.50
21.97
8.30
12.04
985.93
1104.61
KOTAK PRIME
133
130
120
130
126
5.56
2.31
126.50
5.14
1.51
2.59
136.44
139.97
KOTAK INVESTMENTS
48
53
40
50
39
23.08
-9.43
45.50
5.49
6.27
2.02
48.97
49.96
KOTAK LIFE
68
63
71
77
60
13.33
7.94
67.75
0.37
2.74
3.59
70.44
72.98
KOTAK AMC
16
7
19
25
4
300.00
128.57
13.75
16.36
31.35
62.82
26.05
42.42
KOTAK SECURITIES
85
96
60
51
55
54.55
-11.46
65.50
29.77
14.59
11.63
94.89
105.93
KOTAK CAPITAL
7
5
23
17
6
16.67
40.00
12.75
-45.10
15.43
3.63
7.25
7.52
INTT SUBSIDIARIES
22
31
13
22
26
-15.38
-29.03
23.00
-4.35
12.58
-6.16
20.64
19.37
OTHERS
-9
-6
2
-2
-2
350.00
50.00
-2.00
350.00
-137.50
87.50
-16.88
-31.64
SUBSIDIARIES
370
379
348
370
314
17.83
-2.37
352.75
4.89
3.93
2.73
380.09
390.45
TOTAL
1250
1192
1090
1066
949
31.72
4.87
1074.25
16.36
6.86
9.00
1362.56
1485.25
MINORITY INTT
-18
-16
-19
-20
-15
20.00
12.50
-17.50
2.86
4.18
6.13
-19.10
-20.28
OTHERS
35
26
-4
9
11
218.18
34.62
10.50
233.33
-220.51
25.50
43.92
55.12
TOTAL CONS PAT
1267
1202
1067
1055
945
34.07
5.41
1067.25
18.72
7.41
10.01
1393.85
1533.41
SUBSIDIARY SHARE(%)
29.20
31.53
32.61
35.07
33.23
-12.11
-7.38
33.11
-11.80
-3.11
-6.33
27.35
25.62

Acquisition of ING Vysya by KMB (effective from FY-16) has put the bank into a formidable presence in Southern India market with higher SME portfolios along with some other operational synergies. Over the years KMB is able to maintain its standard of asset/loan portfolio despite tough macroeconomic condition on the basis of its prudent & conservative management and a super efficient recovery mechanism. Looking ahead, for sustained growth, KMB has to grow its loan portfolio incrementally; but in that process, may also sacrifice some of its quality for quantity.

KMB has recently got approval from RBI to launch an “Infra Debt Fund” (IDF) to fund upcoming infra projects and also any existing/completed infra projects having track record of at least one year of satisfactory running (commercially viable). Previously, KMB as a policy, shunned the infra projects unlike ICICI & Axis bank because of uncertainties of completion & commercial viability of such projects. Thus, KMB was able to avoid any large scale NPA in the infra sector unlike its private peers (ICICI & Axis); but after NAMO’s convincing win in UP/huge political mandate may have changed that perception of the Bank and it now believes old turbulence (policy paralysis) may be now over and going forward, the uncertainties of the infra sector will be lower and cash flow will become more predictable with more upcoming projects. There are already three such NBFC-IDC operating in India as of now (ICICI; LT & IDFC) and they have already refinanced around Rs.10000 cr worth of infra projects. Due to nature of long gestation period and unpredictable cash flows, these infra projects may not be suitable for typical bank finance. Thus, KMB is taking some risks in “letter & spirit” of its “animal spirit” by funding the infra sector in pursuit of an incrementally higher growth, which may also affect its credit quality to some extent in the coming days.

As par KMB management, the banks targets to double its organic customer base by FY-19 and aims for a consolidated PAT of Rs.7219 cr and a BVPS of 241 which translates into an average CAGR of around 23% over FY: 17-19. But for this KMB may also need to grow inorganically apart from its various strategies for organic growth and thus need to further raise capital at the expense of an incrementally higher dilution of its equity. The consistent trend of equity dilution may be one of the major factors for limited upside in the stock price despite management’s thirst for an “animal spirit” of growth.  

By its digital initiative of “811”, KMB may now want to be a bank for mass customers rather than largely for affluent (HNI) clients as of now. By “811”, KMB may pose major challenge to its peers/competitors; but that may not lead to a significant upgrade in financials/core earnings.

No doubt, KMB is one of the great stories in Indian private banking space, where for new generations bank, 25% CAGR in earnings may be the minimum bench mark; but the space may be also maturing for saturation after years of high growth and a growing competition among the peers & also new entrants. Valuation wise the scrip may be quite expensive at around 900 & TTM PE of 35 and from the recent time & price action, it seems that almost all the positive news may have been already discounted by the market. The scrip has rallied around 30% from its early Jan’17 low till few days ago.

Thus, for investors buy either on some dips around 770-720 or on technical breakout above 925 may fetch decent return in KMB for near to long term target of 975-1015 & 1080. 




 
KOTAK BANK-CONS-FY-16
Mar '16
Mar '15
Mar '14
Mar '13
Mar '12
FY:12-16
FY:15-16
AVG
AVGR
SGR
PROJ(%)
FY-17
FY-18














Interest Earned













(a) Int. /Disc. on Adv/Bills
15,412.37
10,121.19
9,029.57
8,219.70
6,551.93
135.23
52.28
8480.60
81.74
23.63
47.86
22789.16
33696.69
(b) Income on Investment
4,408.28
3,050.55
2,841.77
2,478.73
1,840.54
139.51
44.51
2552.90
72.68
23.06
43.78
6338.28
9113.25
(c) Int. on balances With RBI
132.05
61.02
68.55
100.26
41.11
221.21
116.40
67.74
94.95
33.20
74.96
231.04
404.24
(d) Others
448.94
86.13
46.02
39.18
36.85
1118.29
421.24
52.05
762.60
132.95
399.09
2240.61
11182.65
INTEREST INCOME
20,401.64
13,318.89
11,985.91
10,837.87
8,470.43
140.86
53.18
11153.28
82.92
24.18
48.87
30372.80
45217.30
Other Income
7,572.88
8,103.86
5,249.72
5,075.23
4,466.97
69.53
-6.55
5723.95
32.30
15.81
14.74
8688.78
9969.11
TOTAL REVENUE
27,974.52
21,422.75
17,235.63
15,913.10
12,937.40
116.23
30.58
16877.22
65.75
20.47
36.47
38175.82
52097.18
EXPENDITURE













Interest Expended
11,122.97
6,966.10
6,312.12
6,024.49
4,541.96
144.89
59.67
5961.17
86.59
24.85
51.84
16888.58
25642.81
Employees Cost
3,854.05
2,375.47
1,915.12
1,773.51
1,601.54
140.65
62.24
1916.41
101.11
25.99
56.13
6017.17
9394.37
Other Expenses
6,982.20
7,325.47
5,003.92
4,787.76
4,038.65
72.88
-4.69
5288.95
32.01
15.47
15.25
8047.29
9274.85
OPEX
21,959.22
16,667.04
13,231.16
12,585.76
10,182.15
115.66
31.75
13166.53
66.78
20.49
36.98
30080.59
41205.57
EBITDA
6,015.30
4,755.71
4,004.47
3,327.34
2,755.25
118.32
26.49
3710.69
62.11
20.70
34.72
8103.68
10917.09
Depreciation
0
0
0
0
0
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
EBITA
6,015.30
4,755.71
4,004.47
3,327.34
2,755.25
118.32
26.49
3710.69
62.11
20.70
34.72
8103.68
10917.09
Provisions
991.56
205.73
308.97
183.18
98.7
904.62
381.97
199.15
397.91
115.84
280.47
3772.57
14353.41
Exceptional Items
0
0
0
0
0
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
PBT
5,023.74
4,549.98
3,695.50
3,144.16
2,656.55
89.11
10.41
3511.55
43.06
16.64
23.10
6184.19
7612.70
Tax
1,592.62
1,484.90
1,183.96
939.95
806.01
97.59
7.25
1103.71
44.30
18.22
23.54
1967.57
2430.78
PAT
3,431.12
3,065.08
2,511.54
2,204.21
1,850.54
85.41
11.94
2407.84
42.50
15.99
22.95
4218.44
5186.42
Minority Interest
-65.19
-59.51
-62.17
-49.33
-52.84
23.37
9.54
-55.96
16.49
6.04
9.48
-71.37
-78.14
Share Of P/L Of Associates
92.92
39.88
15.62
33.58
34.55
168.94
133.00
30.91
200.64
57.98
108.46
193.71
403.81
Net P/L After M.I & Associates
3,458.85
3,045.45
2,464.99
2,188.46
1,832.25
88.78
13.57
2382.79
45.16
16.51
24.36
4301.40
5349.19
Equity Share Capital
917.19
386.18
385.16
373.3
370.34
147.66
137.50
378.75
142.17
35.43
88.00
1724.36
3241.88
EPS
18.86
39.43
32.00
29.31
24.74
-23.78
-52.18
31.37
-39.89
-1.05
-24.77
14.19
10.67
EPS(REPORTED)













Basic EPS
18.91
39.49
32.19
29.44
24.81
-23.78
-52.11
31.48
-39.93
-1.09
-24.77
14.23
10.70
Diluted EPS
18.87
39.4
32.14
29.33
24.67
-23.51
-52.11
31.39
-39.88
-1.01
23.00
23.21
28.55
AVERAGE PE
25
25
25
25
25






25
25
MEDIAN VALUATION
471.75
985.00
803.50
733.25
616.75






580.25
713.71
Book Value (Rs)
181.86
286.63
247.64
204.25
174.18
4.41
-36.55
228.18
-20.30
3.79
19.50
217.32
259.70
AVERAGE PB
3.25
3.25
3.25
3.25
3.25






3.25
3.25
MEDIAN VALUATION
591.05
931.55
804.83
663.81
566.09






706.30
844.03
























































i) Gross NPA
3,016.55
1,392.35
1,177.80
848.36
699.74
331.10
116.65
1029.56
192.99
47.80
110.06
6336.44
13310.07
ii) Net NPA
1,353.03
697.44
633.81
361.22
273.43
394.84
94.00
491.48
175.30
50.95
104.74
2770.19
5671.69
i) % of Gross NPA
2.06
1.56
1.63
1.27
1.31
57.25
32.05
1.44
42.81
13.24
25.60
2.59
3.25
ii) % of Net NPA
0.93
0.79
0.88
0.55
0.51
82.35
17.72
0.68
36.26
18.69
23.32
1.15
1.41
PCR(%)
55.5
53.1
60.3
75.9
75.4
-26.39
4.52
66.18
-16.13
-6.83
-6.26
52.03
48.77
NIM(%0
4.3












CREDIT COSTS(%)
0.63
0.62
0.27
0.33
0.21
200.00
1.61
0.36
76.22
37.36
41.30
0.89
1.26
SLIPPAGE RATIO
2.68
2.51
1.58
0.97
0.9
197.78
6.77
1.49
79.87
33.93
42.50
3.82
5.44


Analytical Charts: Kotak Bk











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